How will heat pumps alter national half-hourly heat demands? Empirical modelling based on GB field trials

نویسندگان

چکیده

Heating homes using gas boilers is incompatible with the UK’s target of net-zero greenhouse emissions by 2050. One solution to shift heat pumps (HPs) supplied from decarbonised power plant, but this could place an unmanageable burden on electricity supply network. National demand profiles depend heating patterns adopted households which, in turn, type system and its control. The largest data sets available, around 6600 gas-heated 600 HPs, are used create empirical model Great Britain’s (GB) half-hourly domestic demand. estimate annual GB housing stock for both current future weather conditions. profile when HPs compared heating. In a cold year, calculated total typical mix ground source air-source was 422TWh, 8% greater than homes. However, peak 157GW lower heating, maximum ramp rate 21GW/h, 67% lower. These results due different ways that use HPs. accurate modelling necessary achieve reliable predictions national Policy initiatives, financial incentives or other interventions influence daily pattern HP usage also have marked positive profile.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Energy and Buildings

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['0378-7788', '1872-6178']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2021.110777